Mineros de Zacatecas 56%Draw 24%Tapatío 20%Expected goals 2.04 – 1.22
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✓56% · @1.81
Double chanceMineros de Zacatecas or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.26
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 30 March: Mineros de Zacatecas v Tapatío in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba. In the table, Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Tapatío are 11th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CDS Tampico Madero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Tapatío, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Monarcas, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Mineros de Zacatecas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Tapatío.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Zacatecas 2.0 xG, Tapatío 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Zacatecas 56%, draw 24%, Tapatío 20%.
Lower-risk option: Mineros de Zacatecas or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Tapatío. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Zacatecas56%fair 1.78 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.75
Tapatío20%fair 4.98 · @4.00
3.26Expected goals
2.04Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.22Tapatío xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 2.0 – 1.2 Tapatío expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mineros de Zacatecas
Tapatío
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-2%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+20%
Our expected goals here
2.19
1.38
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✓
56%
1.78
1.81
Double chance
Mineros de Zacatecas or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Mineros de Zacatecas (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Tapatío +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
First team to score
Mineros de Zacatecas to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Mineros de Zacatecas ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 4
WLWL
14 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Tepatitlán
0–4
L
28 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cancún
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tapatío – last 4
WLLD
23 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–4
L
7 Mar
vs Cancún
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Tapatío.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tapatío 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Tapatío, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
