FC Thun 41%Draw 22%FC ST. Gallen 37%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.77
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC ST. Gallen to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Thun to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Thursday 5 March: FC Thun v FC ST. Gallen in the Super League, played at Stockhorn Arena. In the table, FC Thun are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; FC ST. Gallen are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Thun 1.7 xG, FC ST. Gallen 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Thun 41%, draw 22%, FC ST. Gallen 37%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: FC ST. Gallen to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Thun 1–1 FC ST. Gallen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Thun41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.65
FC ST. Gallen37%fair 2.73 · @3.10
3.51Expected goals
1.74FC Thun xG
1.77FC ST. Gallen xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: FC Thun 1.7 – 1.8 FC ST. Gallen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Draw no bet
FC Thun (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
FC Thun +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
FC ST. Gallen to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC ST. Gallen / FT FC ST. Gallen✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
FC Thun – last 2
WW
25 Feb
@ FC Winterthur
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs FC Sion
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC ST. Gallen – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ FC Winterthur
5–1
W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and FC ST. Gallen.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC ST. Gallen 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–1 FC ST. Gallen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
