FC ST. Gallen 44%Draw 24%FC Lugano 32%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.66
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC ST. Gallen to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Lugano travel to face FC ST. Gallen on Tuesday 17 March in the Super League, with Kybunpark the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC ST. Gallen are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; FC Lugano are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC ST. Gallen, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Basel 1893, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
FC Lugano, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Sion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC ST. Gallen, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for FC Lugano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC ST. Gallen 1.7 xG, FC Lugano 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC ST. Gallen 44%, draw 24%, FC Lugano 32%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: FC Lugano to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC ST. Gallen44%fair 2.25 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.26 · @3.30
FC Lugano32%fair 3.11 · @3.50
3.34Expected goals
1.68FC ST. Gallen xG
1.66FC Lugano xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 1.7 – 1.7 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC ST. Gallen to win✗
44%
2.25
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.55
Draw no bet
FC ST. Gallen (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
FC Lugano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
FC ST. Gallen to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC ST. Gallen / FT FC ST. Gallen✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
FC ST. Gallen – last 3
WDW
8 Mar
vs FC Basel 1893
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ FC Thun
2–2
D
18 Feb
@ FC Winterthur
5–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Lugano – last 4
WLWD
4 Mar
vs FC Sion
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Grasshoppers
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Lausanne
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ FC Basel 1893
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC ST. Gallen and FC Lugano.
What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Lugano 32%.
How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
