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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rosenborg v Valerenga: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Lerkendal Stadion
0–2
FT
Rosenborg 51%Draw 21%Valerenga 28% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.12
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1

Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRosenborg to win ✗51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Rosenborg vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rosenborg welcome Valerenga to Lerkendal Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, Rosenborg are 3rd, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rosenborg, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bryne, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Valerenga, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sandefjord, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Valerenga, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Rosenborg.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Rosenborg 0–1 Valerenga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rosenborg 1.8 xG, Valerenga 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rosenborg 51%, draw 21%, Valerenga 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: Rosenborg to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosenborg 1–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rosenborg51%fair 1.97 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.65
Valerenga28%fair 3.59 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.82Rosenborg xG
1.12Valerenga xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Rosenborg 1.8 – 1.1 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosenborg to win ✗51%1.972.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.45
Draw no betRosenborg (draw no bet) ✗65%1.55–
Asian handicapValerenga +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreRosenborg to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultRosenborg ahead at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosenborg / FT Rosenborg ✗33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Rosenborg – last 4

DLWW
8 Mar@ Bryne2–2D
27 Febvs Valerenga0–1L
24 Febvs Start2–1W
19 Feb@ Ranheim2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Valerenga – last 4

WWWW
15 Marvs Sandefjord1–0W
7 Marvs Stromsgodset4–3W
27 Feb@ Rosenborg1–0W
21 Febvs KFUM Oslo1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Rosenborg v Valerenga0–1
Rosenborg vs Valerenga head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

On our numbers Rosenborg have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valerenga 28%.

How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Our predicted score is Rosenborg 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Rosenborg vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.