Value bet: Molde to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMolde to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Molde vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Eliteserien brings Molde against Lillestrom at Aker Stadion. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Molde are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 26 matches; Lillestrom are 4th (among the top four) with 45. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orgryte IS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molde 2.3 xG, Lillestrom 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 52%, draw 21%, Lillestrom 28%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Molde to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 2–1 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molde52%fair 1.93 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.80
Lillestrom28%fair 3.61 · @2.95
3.71Expected goals
2.28Molde xG
1.43Lillestrom xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Molde 2.3 – 1.4 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✗
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
First team to score
Molde to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Molde – last 2
LD
5 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Viking
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
LWDLWD
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Kongsvinger
2–4
L
17 Feb
vs Haugesund
7–1
W
13 Feb
vs Stromsgodset
4–4
D
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Lillestrom.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Molde vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Molde have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lillestrom 28%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Lillestrom?
Molde vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
