Valerenga vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valerenga welcome Lillestrom to Intility Arena for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 19 April (13:30 WAT). In the table, Valerenga are 8th, upper half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Lillestrom are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Valerenga, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Viking, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lillestrom, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tromso, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valerenga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valerenga 1.5 xG, Lillestrom 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valerenga 41%, draw 24%, Lillestrom 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valerenga 1–1 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valerenga41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.55
Lillestrom36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
2.73Expected goals
1.48Valerenga xG
1.25Lillestrom xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Valerenga 1.5 – 1.2 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.56
1.48
Draw no bet
Valerenga (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Valerenga to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Valerenga – last 6
LDWWWW
6 Apr
vs Viking
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rosenborg
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sandefjord
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Stromsgodset
4–3
W
27 Feb
@ Rosenborg
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
DWLWDL
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Kongsvinger
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valerenga and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lillestrom 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
Valerenga vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
