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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ham-Kam v Valerenga: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Briskeby Arena

Ham-Kam

WLWWL
1–0
FT
Ham-Kam 38%Draw 23%Valerenga 39% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.64
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultValerenga to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13

Ham-Kam vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ham-Kam welcome Valerenga to Briskeby Arena for a Eliteserien fixture on Friday 8 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, Ham-Kam are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ham-Kam, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over KFUM Oslo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Valerenga, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Molde, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ham-Kam 1.7 xG, Valerenga 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ham-Kam 38%, draw 23%, Valerenga 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ham-Kam 1–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ham-Kam38%fair 2.61 · @2.65
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Valerenga39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
3.30Expected goals
1.66Ham-Kam xG
1.64Valerenga xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.7 – 1.6 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValerenga to win ✗39%2.592.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.50
Draw no betValerenga (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapValerenga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.651.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
First team to scoreHam-Kam to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ham-Kam / FT Ham-Kam ✓23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.13–

Recent results

Ham-Kam – last 6

WLWWLL
19 Aprvs KFUM Oslo4–0W
6 Aprvs Brann1–5L
1 Marvs Lyn4–0W
25 Feb@ Haugesund2–0W
18 Feb@ Kristiansund BK1–2L
13 Feb@ Sarpsborg 08 FF2–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Valerenga – last 6

LLDWWW
26 Apr@ Molde1–5L
6 Aprvs Viking0–1L
27 Marvs IFK Goteborg3–3D
22 Mar@ Rosenborg2–0W
15 Marvs Sandefjord1–0W
7 Marvs Stromsgodset4–3W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ham-Kam and Valerenga.

Ham-Kam vs Valerenga head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ham-Kam vs Valerenga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ham-Kam vs Valerenga?

On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valerenga 39%.

How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Valerenga?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ham-Kam vs Valerenga?

Our predicted score is Ham-Kam 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Ham-Kam vs Valerenga?

Ham-Kam vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.