Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.44
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fredrikstad travel to face Sarpsborg 08 FF on Saturday 9 May in the Eliteserien, with Sarpsborg Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Lillestrom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Fredrikstad, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kristiansund BK, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fredrikstad, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Fredrikstad 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.5 xG, Fredrikstad 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 42%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 35%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Fredrikstad to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF42%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
Fredrikstad35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
2.93Expected goals
1.53Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.40Fredrikstad xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.5 – 1.4 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fredrikstad 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
