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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Viking: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Sarpsborg Stadion
1–0
FT

Viking

DWWWW
Sarpsborg 08 FF 19%Draw 22%Viking 59% Expected goals 1.13 – 2.12
81%
Betarazi pick

Viking or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultViking to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceViking or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Viking travel to face Sarpsborg 08 FF on Sunday 12 July in the Eliteserien, with Sarpsborg Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Viking are 1st (leading the league) with 62. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brann, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Viking, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sonderjyske, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.1 xG, Viking 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 19%, draw 22%, Viking 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Viking or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Viking or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 Viking. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF19%fair 5.29 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
Viking59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
3.25Expected goals
1.13Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
2.12Viking xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.1 – 2.1 Viking expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultViking to win ✗59%1.701.73
Double chanceViking or draw ✗81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.48
Draw no betViking (draw no bet) ✗76%1.32–
Asian handicapViking -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.711.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreViking to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultViking ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Viking / FT Viking ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

WWWLLD
29 May@ Brann2–1W
25 Mayvs Molde2–1W
9 Mayvs Fredrikstad2–1W
3 May@ Lillestrom0–4L
19 Aprvs Tromso0–1L
15 Aprvs BodoGlimt1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Viking – last 6

DWWWWL
3 Jul@ Sonderjyske1–1D
24 May@ Kristiansund BK2–1W
1 Mayvs Rosenborg3–0W
6 Apr@ Valerenga1–0W
25 Marvs Haugesund3–0W
18 Marvs Aalesund1–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking.

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?

Our pick is Viking or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Viking 59%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 Viking, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.