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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BodoGlimt v Fredrikstad: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Aspmyra Stadion
1–0
FT
BodoGlimt 73%Draw 15%Fredrikstad 12% Expected goals 2.51 – 0.94
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultBodoGlimt to win ✓73% · @1.15
Double chanceBodoGlimt or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fredrikstad travel to face BodoGlimt on Friday 17 July in the Eliteserien, with Aspmyra Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, BodoGlimt are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

BodoGlimt, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over KFUM Oslo, away. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.

Fredrikstad, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lillestrom, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours BodoGlimt, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Fredrikstad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BodoGlimt 2.5 xG, Fredrikstad 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BodoGlimt 73%, draw 15%, Fredrikstad 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: BodoGlimt 2–1 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BodoGlimt73%fair 1.37 · @1.15
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @7.00
Fredrikstad12%fair 8.64 · @15.00
3.45Expected goals
2.51BodoGlimt xG
0.94Fredrikstad xG
51%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: BodoGlimt 2.5 – 0.9 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBodoGlimt to win ✓73%1.371.15
Double chanceBodoGlimt or draw ✓88%1.131.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.85
Draw no betBodoGlimt (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapBodoGlimt -1 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.151.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.962.00
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.431.42
First team to scoreBodoGlimt to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultBodoGlimt ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT BodoGlimt / FT BodoGlimt ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

BodoGlimt – last 6

WWWDWW
12 Jul@ KFUM Oslo2–0W
4 Julvs Start4–0W
28 Jun@ Molde4–1W
29 May@ Rosenborg2–2D
24 Mayvs Brann3–1W
20 May@ Start4–1W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Fredrikstad – last 6

LLWDLL
11 Julvs Lillestrom0–2L
4 Jul@ Valerenga1–3L
29 Mayvs Start2–1W
25 May@ Sandefjord1–1D
9 May@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2L
19 Apr@ Kristiansund BK0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between BodoGlimt and Fredrikstad.

BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad?

On our numbers BodoGlimt have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Fredrikstad 12%.

How many goals will there be in BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad?

Our predicted score is BodoGlimt 2–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad?

BodoGlimt vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Aspmyra Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.