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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Start v Rosenborg: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Sparebanken Sør Arena

Start

LLLWL
0–3
FT
Start 24%Draw 21%Rosenborg 54% Expected goals 1.14 – 2.07
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRosenborg to win ✓54% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Start vs Rosenborg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Start v Rosenborg in the Eliteserien, played at Sparebanken Sør Arena. In the table, Start are 16th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 26 matches; Rosenborg are 3rd (among the top four) with 46. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Start, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brann, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Rosenborg, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kristiansund BK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rosenborg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Start.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Rosenborg 2–1 Start.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Start 1.1 xG, Rosenborg 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Start 24%, draw 21%, Rosenborg 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Rosenborg to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Start 1–2 Rosenborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Start24%fair 4.09 · @2.95
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.55
Rosenborg54%fair 1.85 · @2.20
3.21Expected goals
1.14Start xG
2.07Rosenborg xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Start 1.1 – 2.1 Rosenborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosenborg to win ✓54%1.852.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.57
Draw no betRosenborg (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapStart +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.15
First team to scoreRosenborg to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultRosenborg ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosenborg / FT Rosenborg ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Start – last 6

LLLWLL
12 Jul@ Brann1–2L
4 Jul@ BodoGlimt0–4L
29 May@ Fredrikstad1–2L
25 Mayvs Valerenga2–0W
20 Mayvs BodoGlimt1–4L
30 Apr@ BodoGlimt0–5L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rosenborg – last 6

WWDLWL
12 Julvs Kristiansund BK3–0W
5 Julvs Molde2–1W
29 Mayvs BodoGlimt2–2D
25 May@ KFUM Oslo0–2L
10 Mayvs Lillestrom2–0W
1 May@ Viking0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Rosenborg v Start2–1
Start vs Rosenborg head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Start vs Rosenborg?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Start vs Rosenborg?

On our numbers Start have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rosenborg 54%.

How many goals will there be in Start vs Rosenborg?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Start vs Rosenborg?

Our predicted score is Start 1–2 Rosenborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Start vs Rosenborg?

Start vs Rosenborg (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparebanken Sør Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.