Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultValerenga to win ✓55% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Valerenga vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 16 July the Eliteserien brings Valerenga against Aalesund at Intility Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Valerenga are 8th, upper half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Aalesund are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
Valerenga, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Tromso, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Aalesund, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Molde, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valerenga 2.2 xG, Aalesund 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valerenga 55%, draw 20%, Aalesund 24%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valerenga 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valerenga55%fair 1.81 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.10
Aalesund24%fair 4.09 · @4.20
3.71Expected goals
2.20Valerenga xG
1.52Aalesund xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Valerenga 2.2 – 1.5 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Draw no bet
Valerenga (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Aalesund +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.25
First team to score
Valerenga to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Valerenga ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Valerenga – last 6
LWDWLL
11 Jul
@ Tromso
0–4
L
4 Jul
vs Fredrikstad
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
29 May
vs Kristiansund BK
3–1
W
25 May
@ Start
0–2
L
8 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aalesund – last 6
DWDDWL
11 Jul
vs Molde
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
29 May
vs Ham-Kam
2–2
D
25 May
@ Tromso
1–1
D
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valerenga and Aalesund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Valerenga vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aalesund 24%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Aalesund?
Valerenga vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
