Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRosenborg to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceRosenborg or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 27 July: Rosenborg v Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien, played at Lerkendal Stadion. In the table, Rosenborg are 3rd, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rosenborg, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Manchester United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Fredrikstad, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to BodoGlimt, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rosenborg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Fredrikstad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rosenborg 2.1 xG, Fredrikstad 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rosenborg 63%, draw 21%, Fredrikstad 15%.
Lower-risk option: Rosenborg or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Rosenborg to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosenborg 2–0 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rosenborg63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
Fredrikstad15%fair 6.53 · @4.60
3.09Expected goals
2.15Rosenborg xG
0.95Fredrikstad xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rosenborg 2.1 – 0.9 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosenborg to win✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Rosenborg or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Rosenborg (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Rosenborg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
First team to score
Rosenborg to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Rosenborg ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosenborg / FT Rosenborg✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Rosenborg – last 6
LWWWDL
24 Jul
vs Manchester United
0–5
L
18 Jul
@ Start
3–0
W
12 Jul
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
5 Jul
vs Molde
2–1
W
29 May
vs BodoGlimt
2–2
D
25 May
@ KFUM Oslo
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Jul
@ BodoGlimt
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Lillestrom
0–2
L
4 Jul
@ Valerenga
1–3
L
29 May
vs Start
2–1
W
25 May
@ Sandefjord
1–1
D
9 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosenborg and Fredrikstad.
What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Rosenborg have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fredrikstad 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Rosenborg 2–0 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
