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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Sarpsborg Stadion
1–0
FT

Ham-Kam

LLDWD
Sarpsborg 08 FF 52%Draw 23%Ham-Kam 24% Expected goals 1.71 – 1.29
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓52% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF welcome Ham-Kam to Sarpsborg Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 26 July (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Ham-Kam are 11th (lower half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kristiansund BK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Ham-Kam, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to BodoGlimt, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sarpsborg 08 FF, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Ham-Kam.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–2 Ham-Kam.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.7 xG, Ham-Kam 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 52%, draw 23%, Ham-Kam 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Ham-Kam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF52%fair 1.91 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.00
Ham-Kam24%fair 4.13 · @4.33
3.00Expected goals
1.71Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.29Ham-Kam xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.7 – 1.3 Ham-Kam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓52%1.911.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.571.55
Draw no betSarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) ✓68%1.46–
Asian handicapHam-Kam +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
First team to scoreSarpsborg 08 FF to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF ✓29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

DWWWWL
18 Jul@ Kristiansund BK0–0D
12 Julvs Viking1–0W
29 May@ Brann2–1W
25 Mayvs Molde2–1W
9 Mayvs Fredrikstad2–1W
3 May@ Lillestrom0–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ham-Kam – last 6

LLDWDW
22 Jul@ BodoGlimt0–3L
18 Julvs Tromso1–4L
12 Jul@ Sandefjord2–2D
27 Jun@ IFK Goteborg2–1W
29 May@ Aalesund2–2D
25 Mayvs Lillestrom2–0W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam3–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ham-Kam 24%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Ham-Kam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.