Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBodoGlimt to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceBodoGlimt or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BodoGlimt welcome Lillestrom to Aspmyra Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Friday 31 July (20:00 WAT). In the table, BodoGlimt are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 26 matches; Lillestrom are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BodoGlimt, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sandefjord, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Lillestrom, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Viking, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BodoGlimt, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BodoGlimt 2.3 xG, Lillestrom 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BodoGlimt 71%, draw 18%, Lillestrom 11%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BodoGlimt to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: BodoGlimt 2–0 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BodoGlimt71%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @6.50
Lillestrom11%fair 8.72 · @8.60
3.19Expected goals
2.30BodoGlimt xG
0.89Lillestrom xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: BodoGlimt 2.3 – 0.9 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BodoGlimt to win✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Double chance
BodoGlimt or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.60
Draw no bet
BodoGlimt (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
BodoGlimt -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.44
First team to score
BodoGlimt to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
BodoGlimt ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BodoGlimt / FT BodoGlimt✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
BodoGlimt – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Jul
@ Sandefjord
3–0
W
22 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Fredrikstad
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ KFUM Oslo
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Start
4–0
W
28 Jun
@ Molde
4–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
LWWLLL
22 Jul
vs Viking
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs KFUM Oslo
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Fredrikstad
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ FC Midtjylland
0–1
L
25 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–2
L
20 May
vs Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BodoGlimt and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is BodoGlimt to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers BodoGlimt have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lillestrom 11%.
How many goals will there be in BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is BodoGlimt 2–0 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Aspmyra Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
