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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Molde v Sarpsborg 08 FF: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Aker Stadion

Molde

WLDLL
3–3
FT
Molde 65%Draw 18%Sarpsborg 08 FF 16% Expected goals 2.43 – 1.11
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultMolde to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceMolde or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF travel to face Molde on Sunday 2 August in the Eliteserien, with Aker Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Molde are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 26 matches; Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th (lower half) with 31. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Molde, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over KFUM Oslo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ham-Kam, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sarpsborg 08 FF, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Molde.

Head to head

When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Molde.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Molde 2.4 xG, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 65%, draw 18%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Molde or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Molde65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF16%fair 6.09 · @4.80
3.54Expected goals
2.43Molde xG
1.11Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Molde 2.4 – 1.1 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMolde to win ✗65%1.541.60
Double chanceMolde or draw ✓84%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.45
Draw no betMolde (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapMolde -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
First team to scoreMolde to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultMolde ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Molde / FT Molde ✗44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.52–

Recent results

Molde – last 6

WLDLLW
26 Jul@ KFUM Oslo4–2W
18 Julvs Brann1–2L
11 Jul@ Aalesund2–2D
5 Jul@ Rosenborg1–2L
28 Junvs BodoGlimt1–4L
21 Junvs KFUM Oslo5–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

WDWWWW
26 Julvs Ham-Kam1–0W
18 Jul@ Kristiansund BK0–0D
12 Julvs Viking1–0W
29 May@ Brann2–1W
25 Mayvs Molde2–1W
9 Mayvs Fredrikstad2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Molde2–1
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

On our numbers Molde have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 16%.

How many goals will there be in Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.