Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 2.65 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRosenborg to win ✓43% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Eliteserien brings Lillestrom against Rosenborg at Åråsen. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; Rosenborg are 3rd (among the top four) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to BodoGlimt, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Rosenborg, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Brann, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rosenborg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Lillestrom.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Rosenborg 2–0 Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 1.3 xG, Rosenborg 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 34%, draw 23%, Rosenborg 43%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Rosenborg to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 1–1 Rosenborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lillestrom34%fair 2.96 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.65
Rosenborg43%fair 2.33 · @2.65
2.96Expected goals
1.29Lillestrom xG
1.67Rosenborg xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.3 – 1.7 Rosenborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Rosenborg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Rosenborg?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rosenborg 43%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Rosenborg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Rosenborg?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 Rosenborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Rosenborg?
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
