Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFredrikstad to win ✓38% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Start vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Start welcome Fredrikstad to Sparebanken Sør Arena for a Eliteserien fixture on Saturday 8 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Start are 16th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Start, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Viking, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fredrikstad, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sandefjord, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fredrikstad, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Start.
Head to head
When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Fredrikstad 2–1 Start.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Start 1.5 xG, Fredrikstad 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Start 38%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Fredrikstad to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Start 1–1 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Start38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Fredrikstad38%fair 2.61 · @2.95
3.04Expected goals
1.46Start xG
1.58Fredrikstad xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Start 1.5 – 1.6 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Start vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Start have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fredrikstad 38%.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Start vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Start 1–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Start vs Fredrikstad?
Start vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparebanken Sør Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
