Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarpsborg 08 FF welcome Valerenga to Sarpsborg Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 6 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tromso, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Valerenga, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Molde, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 xG, Valerenga 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 61%, draw 14%, Valerenga 25%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @3.80
Valerenga25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
3.11Expected goals
1.97Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.14Valerenga xG
67%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 – 1.1 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win✗
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Draw no bet
Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet)
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Valerenga +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Sarpsborg 08 FF to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
DWLLDW
30 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Sparta Sarpsborg
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sandefjord
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Viking
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Molde
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LWDLLW
30 Aug
vs Molde
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Christiania BK
7–2
W
16 Aug
@ Aalesund
5–5
D
8 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Brann
3–2
W
3.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Valerenga 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
