Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultLillestrom to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Lillestrom vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lillestrom welcome Valerenga for a Eliteserien fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Lillestrom are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brann, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Valerenga, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sarpsborg 08 FF, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Lillestrom, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Valerenga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 2.1 xG, Valerenga 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 62%, draw 14%, Valerenga 24%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lillestrom to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 2–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lillestrom62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw14%fair 7.39 · @3.80
Valerenga24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
3.29Expected goals
2.11Lillestrom xG
1.18Valerenga xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.1 – 1.2 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Draw no bet
Lillestrom (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Valerenga +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Lillestrom to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Lillestrom ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Lillestrom – last 6
WWLDDD
5 Sep
@ Brann
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Aurskog Finstadbru
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Fredrikstad
1–4
L
27 Aug
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ KFUM Oslo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
DLWDLL
6 Sep
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Molde
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Christiania BK
7–2
W
16 Aug
@ Aalesund
5–5
D
8 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
0–3
L
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Valerenga.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Our pick is Lillestrom to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Valerenga 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 2–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Lillestrom vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
