Molde vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Molde v Aalesund in the Eliteserien, played at Aker Stadion. In the table, Molde are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 26 matches; Aalesund are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Molde, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over TryggLade, away. 5.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aalesund, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Førde, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 4.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Molde, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Aalesund.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Aalesund 2–2 Molde.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molde 2.7 xG, Aalesund 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 71%, draw 18%, Aalesund 11%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Molde to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molde71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.00
Aalesund11%fair 8.79 · @7.00
3.73Expected goals
2.67Molde xG
1.06Aalesund xG
64%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Molde 2.7 – 1.1 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Molde to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Molde vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Molde have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aalesund 11%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Aalesund?
Molde vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
