Viking vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Viking v Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien, played at Lyse Arena. In the table, Viking are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Viking, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Bayern München, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fredrikstad, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tromso, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Viking, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Fredrikstad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Viking 2.3 xG, Fredrikstad 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Viking 74%, draw 15%, Fredrikstad 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Viking to win (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Viking 2–0 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Viking74%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.51 · @5.80
Fredrikstad11%fair 9.17 · @8.50
3.07Expected goals
2.33Viking xG
0.74Fredrikstad xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Viking 2.3 – 0.7 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viking to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Double chance
Viking or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Draw no bet
Viking (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Viking -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Viking to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Viking ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viking / FT Viking✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Viking – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Oct
vs Bayern München
3–3
D
9 Oct
@ Brann
2–0
W
1 Oct
@ Madla
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lillestrom
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Kristiansund BK
8–1
W
9 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–3
L
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
DDWDLW
11 Oct
vs Tromso
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Valerenga
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Stjørdals-Blink
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Lillestrom
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Viking and Fredrikstad.
Our pick is Viking to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Viking have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Fredrikstad 11%.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Viking 2–0 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Viking vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Lyse Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
