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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valerenga v Tromso: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Intility Arena
4–0
FT

Tromso

WLDDW
Valerenga 39%Draw 21%Tromso 40% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.70
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultTromso to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09

Valerenga vs Tromso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Valerenga welcome Tromso to Intility Arena for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 1 November (19:15 WAT). In the table, Valerenga are 8th, upper half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Tromso are 6th (upper half) with 40.

Current form

Valerenga, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sarpsborg 08 FF, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Tromso, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Haugesund, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Tromso 4–0 Valerenga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valerenga 1.7 xG, Tromso 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valerenga 39%, draw 21%, Tromso 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valerenga 1–1 Tromso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valerenga39%fair 2.56 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Tromso40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
3.38Expected goals
1.68Valerenga xG
1.70Tromso xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Valerenga 1.7 – 1.7 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTromso to win ✗40%2.502.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.481.44
Draw no betTromso (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapValerenga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreTromso to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tromso / FT Tromso ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.09–

Recent results

Valerenga – last 6

LWWLDW
28 Oct@ Sarpsborg 08 FF2–3L
24 Oct@ BodoGlimt1–0W
18 Octvs Brann3–1W
12 Oct@ KFUM Oslo1–2L
20 Sepvs Fredrikstad1–1D
17 Sep@ Skeid4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tromso – last 6

WLDDWW
28 Octvs Haugesund3–2W
25 Oct@ Viking1–3L
18 Octvs KFUM Oslo1–1D
11 Oct@ Fredrikstad1–1D
20 Sepvs Ham-Kam3–2W
16 Sep@ Alta2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Tromso v Valerenga4–0
Valerenga vs Tromso head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Tromso?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso?

On our numbers Valerenga have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tromso 40%.

How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Tromso?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Tromso?

Our predicted score is Valerenga 1–1 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Valerenga vs Tromso?

Valerenga vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.