Ilves travel to face VPS on Friday 24 April in the Veikkausliiga, with Lemonsoft Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, VPS are 6th on 40 points after 32 matches; Ilves are 2nd with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
VPS, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 11–0 win over SalPa II, away. 3.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ilves, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AC Oulu, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Ilves, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.6 for VPS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VPS 1.1 xG, Ilves 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VPS 26%, draw 25%, Ilves 50%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: VPS 1–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VPS26%fair 3.89 · @3.65
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Ilves50%fair 2.02 · @1.88
2.53Expected goals
1.06VPS xG
1.47Ilves xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: VPS 1.1 – 1.5 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✗
50%
2.02
1.88
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Draw no bet
Ilves (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
VPS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ilves to score first✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
VPS – last 5
WDDLW
14 Apr
@ SalPa II
11–0
W
10 Apr
vs FF Jaro
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ SJK
6–0
W
3.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Ilves – last 3
DWW
21 Feb
vs AC Oulu
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs SJK
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ KuPS
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VPS and Ilves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win VPS vs Ilves?
On our numbers VPS have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ilves 50%.
How many goals will there be in VPS vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VPS vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is VPS 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is VPS vs Ilves?
VPS vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemonsoft Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
