KuPS vs HJK Helsinki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Veikkausliiga brings KuPS against HJK Helsinki at Vare Areena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, KuPS are 3rd on 53 points after 32 matches; HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59.
Current form
KuPS, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over AC Oulu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
HJK Helsinki, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over SJK, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HJK Helsinki, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for KuPS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 1.3 xG, HJK Helsinki 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 35%, draw 24%, HJK Helsinki 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KuPS35%fair 2.86 · @2.46
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
HJK Helsinki41%fair 2.46 · @2.55
2.84Expected goals
1.28KuPS xG
1.56HJK Helsinki xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.3 – 1.6 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HJK Helsinki to win✗
41%
2.46
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
HJK Helsinki (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
KuPS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
HJK Helsinki to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
KuPS – last 5
WLLLL
22 Apr
vs AC Oulu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FF Jaro
3–4
L
19 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Ilves
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
HJK Helsinki – last 5
WLWWL
4 Apr
vs SJK
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Djurgardens IF
2–4
L
21 Mar
vs SJK
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Turku PS
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Hammarby FF
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and HJK Helsinki.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers KuPS have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HJK Helsinki 41%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
KuPS vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
