KuPS welcome SJK to Vare Areena for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Friday 8 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, KuPS are 3rd on 53 points after 32 matches; SJK are 4th with 27. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KuPS, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with HJK Helsinki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
SJK, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ilves, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Momentum favours SJK, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for KuPS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 1.6 xG, SJK 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 55%, draw 25%, SJK 19%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 1–1 SJK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KuPS55%fair 1.81 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.95
SJK19%fair 5.15 · @5.20
2.54Expected goals
1.57KuPS xG
0.97SJK xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.6 – 1.0 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Draw no bet
KuPS (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
SJK +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
KuPS to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
KuPS – last 6
DWLLLL
26 Apr
vs HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs AC Oulu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FF Jaro
3–4
L
19 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Ilves
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SJK – last 6
DWDWWL
2 May
vs Ilves
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ VPS II
6–1
W
24 Apr
vs FF Jaro
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ HaPK Edustus
6–1
W
10 Apr
vs Mariehamn
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ HJK Helsinki
0–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and SJK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win KuPS vs SJK?
On our numbers KuPS have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SJK 19%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs SJK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs SJK?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–1 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs SJK?
KuPS vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
