Lahti vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Lahti v Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga, played at Lahden Stadion. In the table, Lahti are 1st on 39 points after 27 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lahti, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HJK Helsinki, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Mariehamn, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over HPS, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Mariehamn, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Lahti.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Mariehamn 4–0 Lahti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lahti 1.7 xG, Mariehamn 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lahti 61%, draw 23%, Mariehamn 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lahti 1–0 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lahti61%fair 1.64 · @1.56
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
Mariehamn16%fair 6.22 · @5.70
2.51Expected goals
1.73Lahti xG
0.78Mariehamn xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lahti 1.7 – 0.8 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lahti vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers Lahti have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mariehamn 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lahti vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is Lahti 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lahti vs Mariehamn?
Lahti vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
