16:00 WAT, Monday 18 May: Lahti v VPS in the Veikkausliiga, played at Lahden Stadion. In the table, Lahti are 1st on 39 points after 27 matches; VPS are 6th with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lahti, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over MP, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
VPS, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over ÅIFK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 5.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours VPS, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Lahti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lahti 1.3 xG, VPS 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lahti 43%, draw 26%, VPS 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lahti 1–0 VPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lahti43%fair 2.33 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.05
VPS31%fair 3.24 · @3.15
2.34Expected goals
1.35Lahti xG
0.99VPS xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Lahti 1.3 – 1.0 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lahti to win✗
43%
2.33
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Lahti (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
VPS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Lahti to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lahti / FT Lahti✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Lahti – last 6
WDLWWL
13 May
vs MP
3–1
W
10 May
vs Mariehamn
1–1
D
4 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Union Plaani
4–2
W
13 Apr
@ Kooteepee
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VPS – last 6
WWWWDD
13 May
vs ÅIFK
7–0
W
29 Apr
@ Leki
9–1
W
24 Apr
vs Ilves
3–2
W
14 Apr
@ SalPa II
11–0
W
10 Apr
vs FF Jaro
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
5.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lahti and VPS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lahti vs VPS?
On our numbers Lahti have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and VPS 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs VPS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lahti vs VPS?
Our predicted score is Lahti 1–0 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lahti vs VPS?
Lahti vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
