VPS vs HJK Helsinki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the Veikkausliiga brings VPS against HJK Helsinki at Lemonsoft Stadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, VPS are 6th on 40 points after 32 matches; HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
VPS, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lahti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 5.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
HJK Helsinki, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Rops, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours VPS, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for HJK Helsinki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VPS 1.1 xG, HJK Helsinki 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VPS 23%, draw 23%, HJK Helsinki 54%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: VPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VPS23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.45
HJK Helsinki54%fair 1.85 · @1.94
2.83Expected goals
1.05VPS xG
1.78HJK Helsinki xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: VPS 1.1 – 1.8 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HJK Helsinki to win✗
54%
1.85
1.94
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
HJK Helsinki (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
VPS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
HJK Helsinki to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
VPS – last 6
DWWWWD
18 May
@ Lahti
1–1
D
13 May
vs ÅIFK
7–0
W
29 Apr
@ Leki
9–1
W
24 Apr
vs Ilves
3–2
W
14 Apr
@ SalPa II
11–0
W
10 Apr
vs FF Jaro
0–0
D
5.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HJK Helsinki – last 6
WWDDWL
13 May
@ Rops
4–0
W
4 May
vs Lahti
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Inter Turku
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ KuPS
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs SJK
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Djurgardens IF
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VPS and HJK Helsinki.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers VPS have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HJK Helsinki 54%.
How many goals will there be in VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is VPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
VPS vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemonsoft Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
