AC Oulu vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:59 WAT, Thursday 18 June: AC Oulu v Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga, played at Raatin stadion. In the table, AC Oulu are 4th on 48 points after 32 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AC Oulu, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inter Turku, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mariehamn, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gnistan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours AC Oulu, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Mariehamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Oulu 1.8 xG, Mariehamn 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Oulu 63%, draw 23%, Mariehamn 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Oulu 2–0 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Oulu63%fair 1.60 · @1.39
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.30
Mariehamn15%fair 6.85 · @7.30
2.64Expected goals
1.79AC Oulu xG
0.85Mariehamn xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: AC Oulu 1.8 – 0.8 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Oulu to win✓
63%
1.60
1.39
Double chance
AC Oulu or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
AC Oulu (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
AC Oulu to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
AC Oulu ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Oulu / FT AC Oulu✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
AC Oulu – last 6
DWWLLL
13 Jun
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
31 May
vs FF Jaro
2–1
W
23 May
@ SJK
1–0
W
8 May
@ Ilves
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ KuPS
2–3
L
15 Apr
vs FF Jaro
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 6
LLLLWD
13 Jun
vs Gnistan
0–3
L
30 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
26 May
vs Lahti
0–1
L
23 May
@ FF Jaro
0–3
L
13 May
vs PuiU Helsinki
3–0
W
10 May
@ Lahti
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Oulu and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers AC Oulu have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mariehamn 15%.
How many goals will there be in AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is AC Oulu 2–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 10:59 (West Africa Time) at Raatin stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
