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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gnistan v Lahti: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Markku.fi Areena

Gnistan

WWLWD
1–0
FT

Lahti

LLWWL
Gnistan 41%Draw 25%Lahti 33% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.31
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultGnistan to win ✓41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Gnistan vs Lahti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gnistan welcome Lahti to Markku.fi Areena for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Wednesday 17 June (19:00 WAT). In the table, Gnistan are 5th on 46 points after 32 matches; Lahti are 1st with 39.

Current form

Gnistan, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mariehamn, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lahti, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to SJK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Gnistan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Lahti.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Gnistan 0–0 Lahti.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gnistan 1.5 xG, Lahti 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gnistan 41%, draw 25%, Lahti 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gnistan 1–1 Lahti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gnistan41%fair 2.41 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Lahti33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
2.84Expected goals
1.53Gnistan xG
1.31Lahti xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Gnistan 1.5 – 1.3 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGnistan to win ✓41%2.412.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.67
Draw no betGnistan (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapLahti +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreGnistan to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gnistan / FT Gnistan ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Gnistan – last 6

WWLWDW
13 Jun@ Mariehamn3–0W
30 Mayvs SJK3–2W
23 May@ Ilves0–2L
5 Mayvs Inter Turku2–0W
24 Apr@ Turku PS1–1D
14 Apr@ POHU2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lahti – last 6

LLWWLD
13 Junvs SJK2–3L
10 Jun@ Ilves2–5L
30 Mayvs Ilves5–0W
26 May@ Mariehamn1–0W
23 May@ KuPS1–2L
18 Mayvs VPS1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Gnistan v Lahti0–0
Gnistan vs Lahti head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gnistan vs Lahti?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Gnistan vs Lahti?

On our numbers Gnistan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 33%.

How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs Lahti?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs Lahti?

Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gnistan vs Lahti?

Gnistan vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.