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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HJK Helsinki v VPS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki

LWLWD
2–1
FT

VPS

WWLDW
HJK Helsinki 60%Draw 20%VPS 20% Expected goals 2.21 – 1.05
60%
Betarazi pick

HJK Helsinki to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.88 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.88Odds

Picks by market

ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓60% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16

HJK Helsinki vs VPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

VPS travel to face HJK Helsinki on Saturday 18 July in the Veikkausliiga, with Bolt Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, HJK Helsinki are 2nd on 59 points after 32 matches; VPS are 6th with 40. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

HJK Helsinki, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lahti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

VPS, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SJK, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended VPS 2–1 HJK Helsinki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HJK Helsinki 2.2 xG, VPS 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HJK Helsinki 60%, draw 20%, VPS 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HJK Helsinki to win (60%, odds 1.88 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HJK Helsinki 2–1 VPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HJK Helsinki60%fair 1.66 · @1.88
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.75
VPS20%fair 5.03 · @3.45
3.26Expected goals
2.21HJK Helsinki xG
1.05VPS xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 2.2 – 1.1 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHJK Helsinki to win ✓60%1.661.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.48
Draw no betHJK Helsinki (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapHJK Helsinki -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreHJK Helsinki to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultHJK Helsinki ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki ✓41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.16–

Recent results

HJK Helsinki – last 6

LWLWDW
11 Jul@ Lahti0–2L
1 Julvs Ilves2–1W
27 Junvs KuPS0–4L
23 Jun@ Mariehamn4–0W
17 Junvs Inter Turku3–3D
13 Jun@ FF Jaro5–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

VPS – last 6

WWLDWW
10 Julvs SJK1–0W
4 Julvs Mariehamn4–0W
30 Junvs Inter Turku2–3L
27 Jun@ Gnistan1–1D
23 Junvs AC Oulu5–1W
17 Jun@ SJK2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026VPS v HJK Helsinki2–1
HJK Helsinki vs VPS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub
FT AC Oulu0 Gnistan2 140%2.15X24%3.45235%3.00 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT SJK0 KuPS2 134%2.90X26%3.65240%2.12 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

Our pick is HJK Helsinki to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.88.

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VPS 20%.

How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 2–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

HJK Helsinki vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.