Mariehamn vs Lahti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lahti travel to face Mariehamn on Monday 20 July in the Veikkausliiga, with Wiklof Holding Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; Lahti are 1st with 39. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mariehamn, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Gnistan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Lahti, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over HJK Helsinki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lahti, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Mariehamn.
Head to head
When they last met (26 May 2026) it ended Mariehamn 0–1 Lahti. The last 3 head-to-heads: Mariehamn 1 win, Lahti 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.0 xG, Lahti 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 19%, draw 25%, Lahti 56%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mariehamn19%fair 5.21 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.85
Lahti56%fair 1.78 · @1.54
2.65Expected goals
0.98Mariehamn xG
1.67Lahti xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.0 – 1.7 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mariehamn vs Lahti?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 56%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Lahti?
Mariehamn vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
