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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mariehamn v AC Oulu: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland
1–1
FT

AC Oulu

LLDLW
Mariehamn 21%Draw 25%AC Oulu 54% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.64
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAC Oulu to win ✗54% · @1.56
Double chanceAC Oulu or draw ✓79% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Mariehamn vs AC Oulu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 25 July the Veikkausliiga brings Mariehamn against AC Oulu. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; AC Oulu are 4th with 48. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mariehamn, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lahti, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

AC Oulu, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gnistan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours AC Oulu, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Mariehamn.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.1 xG, AC Oulu 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 21%, draw 25%, AC Oulu 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 1–1 AC Oulu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mariehamn21%fair 4.82 · @5.30
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.85
AC Oulu54%fair 1.84 · @1.56
2.72Expected goals
1.08Mariehamn xG
1.64AC Oulu xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.1 – 1.6 AC Oulu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAC Oulu to win ✗54%1.841.56
Double chanceAC Oulu or draw ✓79%1.261.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.70
Draw no betAC Oulu (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapMariehamn +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreAC Oulu to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT AC Oulu / FT AC Oulu ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Mariehamn – last 6

LLLLLL
20 Julvs Lahti0–2L
11 Jul@ Gnistan2–4L
4 Jul@ VPS0–4L
27 Junvs Inter Turku0–2L
23 Junvs HJK Helsinki0–4L
18 Jun@ AC Oulu1–2L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AC Oulu – last 6

LLDLWD
18 Julvs Gnistan0–2L
11 Jul@ Turku PS0–3L
27 Junvs Lahti1–1D
23 Jun@ VPS1–5L
18 Junvs Mariehamn2–1W
13 Jun@ Inter Turku0–0D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jun 2026AC Oulu v Mariehamn2–1
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

On our numbers Mariehamn have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AC Oulu 54%.

How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 AC Oulu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

Mariehamn vs AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.