On Sunday 26 July the Veikkausliiga brings Ilves against Lahti at Tammela Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; Lahti are 1st with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ilves, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stjarnan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lahti, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mariehamn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lahti, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Ilves.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jun 2026) it ended Ilves 5–2 Lahti. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ilves 1 win, Lahti 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.5 xG, Lahti 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 43%, draw 25%, Lahti 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 Lahti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilves43%fair 2.35 · @2.24
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.55
Lahti33%fair 3.06 · @2.76
2.79Expected goals
1.55Ilves xG
1.24Lahti xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.5 – 1.2 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ilves vs Lahti?
On our numbers Ilves have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Lahti?
Ilves vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
