Value bet: Ilves to win @ 2.86 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIlves to win ✗38% · @2.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
AC Oulu vs Ilves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AC Oulu welcome Ilves to Raatin stadion for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Sunday 2 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, AC Oulu are 4th on 48 points after 32 matches; Ilves are 2nd with 38.
Current form
AC Oulu, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mariehamn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ilves, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stjarnan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ilves, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for AC Oulu.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Ilves 1–0 AC Oulu. The last 2 head-to-heads: AC Oulu 0 wins, Ilves 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Oulu 1.4 xG, Ilves 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Oulu 37%, draw 25%, Ilves 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Ilves to win @2.86 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Oulu 1–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Oulu37%fair 2.70 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
Ilves38%fair 2.63 · @2.86
2.81Expected goals
1.36AC Oulu xG
1.44Ilves xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: AC Oulu 1.4 – 1.4 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Oulu vs Ilves?
On our numbers AC Oulu have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ilves 38%.
How many goals will there be in AC Oulu vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Oulu vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is AC Oulu 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AC Oulu vs Ilves?
AC Oulu vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Raatin stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
