Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.31Odds
Picks by market
ResultIlves to win ✓67% · @1.31
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Ilves vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ilves welcome Mariehamn to Tammela Stadium for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Sunday 9 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ilves, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HNK Rijeka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mariehamn, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Turku PS, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ilves, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Mariehamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 2.2 xG, Mariehamn 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 67%, draw 20%, Mariehamn 13%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ilves to win (67%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 2–0 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilves67%fair 1.50 · @1.31
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @5.30
Mariehamn13%fair 7.60 · @7.30
3.04Expected goals
2.17Ilves xG
0.88Mariehamn xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ilves 2.2 – 0.9 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✓
67%
1.50
1.31
Double chance
Ilves or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Ilves (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Ilves -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
Ilves to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Ilves ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Ilves – last 6
LLWWLW
6 Aug
@ HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ AC Oulu
0–1
L
30 Jul
vs Stjarnan
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Lahti
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Stjarnan
0–1
L
20 Jul
@ Turku PS
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 6
LDLLLL
1 Aug
@ Turku PS
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs AC Oulu
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Lahti
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Gnistan
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ VPS
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Inter Turku
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilves and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Ilves to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Ilves vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers Ilves have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mariehamn 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is Ilves 2–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Ilves vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
