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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mariehamn v SJK: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Wiklof Holding Arena
2–0
FT

SJK

DWLLL
Mariehamn 16%Draw 22%SJK 62% Expected goals 0.95 – 2.07
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultSJK to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceSJK or draw ✗84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Mariehamn vs SJK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Mariehamn v SJK in the Veikkausliiga, played at Wiklof Holding Arena. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; SJK are 4th with 27.

Current form

Mariehamn, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ilves, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

SJK, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gnistan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours SJK, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Mariehamn.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended SJK 3–0 Mariehamn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.0 xG, SJK 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 16%, draw 22%, SJK 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 0–2 SJK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mariehamn16%fair 6.37 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.40
SJK62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
3.02Expected goals
0.95Mariehamn xG
2.07SJK xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.0 – 2.1 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSJK to win ✗62%1.611.44
Double chanceSJK or draw ✗84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.53
Draw no betSJK (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapSJK -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
First team to scoreSJK to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultSJK ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT SJK / FT SJK ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Mariehamn – last 6

LLDLLL
9 Aug@ Ilves0–2L
1 Aug@ Turku PS0–3L
25 Julvs AC Oulu1–1D
20 Julvs Lahti0–2L
11 Jul@ Gnistan2–4L
4 Jul@ VPS0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

SJK – last 6

DWLLLW
7 Augvs Gnistan2–2D
3 Augvs HJK Helsinki3–0W
24 Jul@ FF Jaro1–2L
18 Julvs KuPS0–2L
10 Jul@ VPS0–1L
4 Julvs Turku PS3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026SJK v Mariehamn3–0
Mariehamn vs SJK head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs SJK?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Mariehamn vs SJK?

On our numbers Mariehamn have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SJK 62%.

How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs SJK?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs SJK?

Our predicted score is Mariehamn 0–2 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mariehamn vs SJK?

Mariehamn vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.