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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilves v VPS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Tammela Stadium

Ilves

LDWLL
0–1
FT

VPS

LWLLL
Ilves 46%Draw 21%VPS 33% Expected goals 1.64 – 1.33
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Ilves vs VPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

VPS travel to face Ilves on Saturday 22 August in the Veikkausliiga, with Tammela Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; VPS are 6th with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ilves, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gnistan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

VPS, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Turku PS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended VPS 3–2 Ilves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.6 xG, VPS 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 46%, draw 21%, VPS 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 VPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilves46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
VPS33%fair 3.06 · @2.84
2.97Expected goals
1.64Ilves xG
1.33VPS xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ilves 1.6 – 1.3 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✗46%2.162.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.48
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapVPS +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreIlves to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Ilves – last 6

LDWLLW
17 Aug@ Gnistan2–3L
13 Augvs HNK Rijeka1–1D
9 Augvs Mariehamn2–0W
6 Aug@ HNK Rijeka0–1L
2 Aug@ AC Oulu0–1L
30 Julvs Stjarnan1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

VPS – last 6

LWLLLW
14 Augvs Turku PS1–3L
8 Aug@ FF Jaro3–1W
2 Augvs Inter Turku0–1L
25 Jul@ KuPS1–3L
18 Jul@ HJK Helsinki1–2L
10 Julvs SJK1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026VPS v Ilves3–2
Ilves vs VPS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs VPS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ilves vs VPS?

On our numbers Ilves have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VPS 33%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs VPS?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs VPS?

Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs VPS?

Ilves vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.