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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kongsvinger v Egersund: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Gjemselund Stadion
2–1
FT
Kongsvinger 54%Draw 20%Egersund 26% Expected goals 2.31 – 1.42
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Kongsvinger to win @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKongsvinger to win ✓54% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.99

Kongsvinger vs Egersund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 1 May the 1. Division brings Kongsvinger against Egersund at Gjemselund Stadion. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kongsvinger are 3rd, among the top four, on 59 points after 30 matches; Egersund are 8th (upper half) with 41. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kongsvinger, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Raufoss, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Egersund, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ranheim, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Kongsvinger, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Egersund.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kongsvinger 2.3 xG, Egersund 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kongsvinger 54%, draw 20%, Egersund 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Kongsvinger to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kongsvinger 2–1 Egersund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kongsvinger54%fair 1.85 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.65
Egersund26%fair 3.86 · @2.95
3.73Expected goals
2.31Kongsvinger xG
1.42Egersund xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Kongsvinger 2.3 – 1.4 Egersund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKongsvinger to win ✓54%1.852.05 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.42
Draw no betKongsvinger (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapEgersund +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.861.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.391.22
First team to scoreKongsvinger to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultKongsvinger ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kongsvinger / FT Kongsvinger ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.99–

Recent results

Kongsvinger – last 4

WWDW
13 Apr@ Raufoss3–1W
7 Aprvs Bryne3–0W
29 Mar@ Hammarby FF3–3D
24 Feb@ Lillestrom4–2W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Egersund – last 6

WWWDLD
27 Aprvs Ranheim3–0W
19 Aprvs Bryne1–0W
28 Marvs Bryne4–3W
13 Mar@ Stabaek1–1D
9 Marvs Aalesund2–3L
27 Febvs Sandnes ULF3–3D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kongsvinger and Egersund.

Kongsvinger vs Egersund head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kongsvinger vs Egersund?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Kongsvinger vs Egersund?

On our numbers Kongsvinger have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Egersund 26%.

How many goals will there be in Kongsvinger vs Egersund?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kongsvinger vs Egersund?

Our predicted score is Kongsvinger 2–1 Egersund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Kongsvinger vs Egersund?

Kongsvinger vs Egersund (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gjemselund Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.