Moss vs Stromsgodset: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moss welcome Stromsgodset for a 1. Division fixture on Wednesday 20 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, Moss are 13th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Stromsgodset are 1st (leading the league) with 66. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Moss, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ranheim, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Stromsgodset, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Strommen, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Stromsgodset, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Moss.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moss 1.2 xG, Stromsgodset 2.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moss 20%, draw 19%, Stromsgodset 61%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moss 1–2 Stromsgodset. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moss20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.00
Stromsgodset61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
3.56Expected goals
1.18Moss xG
2.38Stromsgodset xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Moss 1.2 – 2.4 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stromsgodset to win✗
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Draw no bet
Stromsgodset (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Stromsgodset -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
First team to score
Stromsgodset to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Stromsgodset ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Moss – last 6
LWLLLW
1 May
@ Ranheim
0–4
L
6 Apr
@ Asane
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ ODD Ballklubb
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Mjondalen
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Arendal
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stromsgodset – last 6
WWDWDL
1 May
vs Strommen
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Stabaek
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Sandefjord
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Hønefoss
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Mjondalen
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Valerenga
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moss and Stromsgodset.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Moss vs Stromsgodset?
On our numbers Moss have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stromsgodset 61%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Stromsgodset?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Stromsgodset?
Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Stromsgodset?
Moss vs Stromsgodset (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
