Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Haugesund to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHaugesund to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceHaugesund or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Haugesund vs Moss: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moss travel to face Haugesund on Monday 25 May in the 1. Division, with Haugesund Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Haugesund are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; Moss are 13th (lower half) with 32. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Haugesund, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Strommen, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Moss, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stromsgodset, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Haugesund, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Moss.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haugesund 2.5 xG, Moss 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haugesund 62%, draw 19%, Moss 18%.
Lower-risk option: Haugesund or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Haugesund to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Haugesund or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haugesund 2–1 Moss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haugesund62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.95
Moss18%fair 5.43 · @3.75
3.76Expected goals
2.54Haugesund xG
1.22Moss xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Haugesund 2.5 – 1.2 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haugesund to win✓
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Haugesund or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Draw no bet
Haugesund (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Haugesund -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.25
First team to score
Haugesund to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Haugesund ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haugesund / FT Haugesund✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Haugesund – last 6
WWWDLL
20 May
@ Strommen
7–0
W
1 May
vs Sandnes ULF
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Lyn
4–2
W
30 Mar
@ Sandnes ULF
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Viking
0–3
L
25 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
DLWLLL
20 May
vs Stromsgodset
1–1
D
1 May
@ Ranheim
0–4
L
6 Apr
@ Asane
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ ODD Ballklubb
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Mjondalen
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haugesund and Moss.
Our pick is Haugesund or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Haugesund vs Moss?
On our numbers Haugesund have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moss 18%.
How many goals will there be in Haugesund vs Moss?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haugesund vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Haugesund 2–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Haugesund vs Moss?
Haugesund vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Haugesund Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.