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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Haugesund v Moss: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Haugesund Stadion
3–1
FT

Moss

DLWLL
Haugesund 62%Draw 19%Moss 18% Expected goals 2.54 – 1.22
82%
Betarazi pick

Haugesund or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Haugesund to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHaugesund to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceHaugesund or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Haugesund vs Moss: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Moss travel to face Haugesund on Monday 25 May in the 1. Division, with Haugesund Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Haugesund are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; Moss are 13th (lower half) with 32. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Haugesund, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Strommen, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Moss, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stromsgodset, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Haugesund, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Moss.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Haugesund 2.5 xG, Moss 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Haugesund 62%, draw 19%, Moss 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Haugesund or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: Haugesund to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Haugesund or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haugesund 2–1 Moss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Haugesund62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.95
Moss18%fair 5.43 · @3.75
3.76Expected goals
2.54Haugesund xG
1.22Moss xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Haugesund 2.5 – 1.2 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHaugesund to win ✓62%1.601.73 ▲
Double chanceHaugesund or draw ✓82%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.45
Draw no betHaugesund (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapHaugesund -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.891.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.25
First team to scoreHaugesund to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultHaugesund ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Haugesund / FT Haugesund ✗44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Haugesund – last 6

WWWDLL
20 May@ Strommen7–0W
1 Mayvs Sandnes ULF2–0W
6 Apr@ Lyn4–2W
30 Mar@ Sandnes ULF2–2D
25 Mar@ Viking0–3L
25 Febvs Ham-Kam0–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Moss – last 6

DLWLLL
20 Mayvs Stromsgodset1–1D
1 May@ Ranheim0–4L
6 Apr@ Asane3–2W
29 Mar@ Stabaek0–2L
13 Mar@ ODD Ballklubb0–2L
20 Feb@ Mjondalen2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Haugesund and Moss.

Haugesund vs Moss head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Haugesund vs Moss?

Our pick is Haugesund or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Haugesund vs Moss?

On our numbers Haugesund have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moss 18%.

How many goals will there be in Haugesund vs Moss?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Haugesund vs Moss?

Our predicted score is Haugesund 2–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Haugesund vs Moss?

Haugesund vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Haugesund Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.