Sogndal welcome Moss to Fosshaugane Campus for a 1. Division fixture on Sunday 14 June (15:00 WAT). In the table, Sogndal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 30 matches; Moss are 13th (lower half) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sogndal, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Strommen, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Moss, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stabaek, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogndal 2.0 xG, Moss 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogndal 51%, draw 22%, Moss 27%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogndal 1–1 Moss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogndal51%fair 1.97 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.95
Moss27%fair 3.64 · @2.95
3.36Expected goals
1.98Sogndal xG
1.38Moss xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sogndal 2.0 – 1.4 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sogndal to win✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Draw no bet
Sogndal (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Moss +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
First team to score
Sogndal to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Sogndal ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sogndal / FT Sogndal✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Sogndal – last 6
WLDDLD
31 May
@ Strommen
3–2
W
25 May
@ Sandnes ULF
0–2
L
20 May
vs Stabaek
2–2
D
1 May
@ Bryne
3–3
D
6 Apr
@ ODD Ballklubb
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Asane
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
DLDLWL
30 May
vs Stabaek
2–2
D
25 May
@ Haugesund
1–3
L
20 May
vs Stromsgodset
1–1
D
1 May
@ Ranheim
0–4
L
6 Apr
@ Asane
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogndal and Moss.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sogndal vs Moss?
On our numbers Sogndal have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moss 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Moss?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Sogndal 1–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sogndal vs Moss?
Sogndal vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
