Kongsvinger vs Sogndal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sogndal travel to face Kongsvinger on Friday 3 July in the 1. Division, with Gjemselund Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Kongsvinger are 3rd, among the top four, on 59 points after 30 matches; Sogndal are 14th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kongsvinger, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Haugesund, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sogndal, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Egersund, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Kongsvinger, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Sogndal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kongsvinger 2.7 xG, Sogndal 1.4 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kongsvinger 64%, draw 17%, Sogndal 20%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kongsvinger 2–1 Sogndal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kongsvinger64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @4.33
Sogndal20%fair 5.12 · @4.10
4.09Expected goals
2.69Kongsvinger xG
1.40Sogndal xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Kongsvinger 2.7 – 1.4 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kongsvinger to win✓
64%
1.57
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Draw no bet
Kongsvinger (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Kongsvinger -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.42
First team to score
Kongsvinger to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Kongsvinger ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kongsvinger / FT Kongsvinger✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Kongsvinger – last 6
LDWWLW
27 Jun
@ Haugesund
2–4
L
21 Jun
vs Stromsgodset
4–4
D
14 Jun
@ hodd
2–1
W
31 May
vs Asane
3–1
W
25 May
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
20 May
vs ODD Ballklubb
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sogndal – last 6
WLLWLD
27 Jun
vs Egersund
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Raufoss
1–3
L
14 Jun
vs Moss
2–4
L
31 May
@ Strommen
3–2
W
25 May
@ Sandnes ULF
0–2
L
20 May
vs Stabaek
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kongsvinger and Sogndal.
What is the prediction for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
On our numbers Kongsvinger have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sogndal 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
Our predicted score is Kongsvinger 2–1 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gjemselund Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
