18:00 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Moss v Sogndal in the 1. Division. In the table, Moss are 13th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Sogndal are 14th (in the drop zone) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Moss, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lørenskog, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Sogndal, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Fjøra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Sogndal, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Moss.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Sogndal 2–4 Moss.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moss 1.9 xG, Sogndal 2.0 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moss 40%, draw 19%, Sogndal 41%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moss 1–2 Sogndal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moss40%fair 2.52 · @2.38
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.85
Sogndal41%fair 2.45 · @2.38
3.90Expected goals
1.94Moss xG
1.96Sogndal xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Moss 1.9 – 2.0 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Moss vs Sogndal?
On our numbers Moss have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sogndal 41%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Sogndal?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Sogndal?
Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Sogndal?
Moss vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.