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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moss v Sogndal: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway

Moss

WLDLL
2–2
FT

Sogndal

WWLLW
Moss 40%Draw 19%Sogndal 41% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.96
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSogndal to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.23

Moss vs Sogndal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Moss v Sogndal in the 1. Division. In the table, Moss are 13th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Sogndal are 14th (in the drop zone) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Moss, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lørenskog, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Sogndal, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Fjøra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sogndal, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Moss.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Sogndal 2–4 Moss.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moss 1.9 xG, Sogndal 2.0 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moss 40%, draw 19%, Sogndal 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moss 1–2 Sogndal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moss40%fair 2.52 · @2.38
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.85
Sogndal41%fair 2.45 · @2.38
3.90Expected goals
1.94Moss xG
1.96Sogndal xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%

From our goals model: Moss 1.9 – 2.0 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSogndal to win ✗41%2.452.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.25
Draw no betSogndal (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapMoss +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.571.48
First team to scoreSogndal to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓34%2.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sogndal / FT Sogndal ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.23–

Recent results

Moss – last 6

WLDLLL
22 Aug@ Lørenskog3–0W
15 Aug@ Bryne1–2L
10 Augvs ODD Ballklubb3–3D
2 Aug@ hodd1–2L
26 Julvs Raufoss1–2L
4 Jul@ Egersund0–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Sogndal – last 6

WWLLWL
21 Aug@ Fjøra8–0W
16 Augvs Sandnes ULF2–0W
9 Augvs Bryne0–2L
2 Aug@ Lyn2–3L
26 Julvs Ranheim3–2W
3 Jul@ Kongsvinger1–5L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Sogndal v Moss2–4
Moss vs Sogndal head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moss vs Sogndal?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Moss vs Sogndal?

On our numbers Moss have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sogndal 41%.

How many goals will there be in Moss vs Sogndal?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moss vs Sogndal?

Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Moss vs Sogndal?

Moss vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.