Sogndal vs Stromsgodset: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the 1. Division brings Sogndal against Stromsgodset at Fosshaugane Campus. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sogndal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 30 matches; Stromsgodset are 1st (leading the league) with 66. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sogndal, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Moss, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Stromsgodset, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over hodd, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogndal 1.4 xG, Stromsgodset 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogndal 20%, draw 16%, Stromsgodset 64%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogndal 1–2 Stromsgodset. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogndal20%fair 5.10 · @4.20
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @4.40
Stromsgodset64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
4.02Expected goals
1.40Sogndal xG
2.61Stromsgodset xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Sogndal 1.4 – 2.6 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stromsgodset to win✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.28
Draw no bet
Stromsgodset (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Stromsgodset -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
First team to score
Stromsgodset to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Stromsgodset ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Sogndal – last 6
DWWLLW
26 Aug
@ Moss
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Fjøra
8–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sandnes ULF
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Bryne
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Lyn
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Ranheim
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stromsgodset – last 6
WWWLWD
26 Aug
vs hodd
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Modum FK
6–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ranheim
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Egersund
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Bryne
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Lyn
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogndal and Stromsgodset.
What is the prediction for Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
On our numbers Sogndal have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Stromsgodset 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
Our predicted score is Sogndal 1–2 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
