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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stabaek v Moss: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek

LWWWW
2–3
FT

Moss

LDWLD
Stabaek 68%Draw 19%Moss 13% Expected goals 2.66 – 1.17
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultStabaek to win ✗68% · @1.33
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Stabaek vs Moss: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the 1. Division brings Stabaek against Moss at Nadderud Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Stabaek are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 30 matches; Moss are 13th (lower half) with 32. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Stabaek, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to hodd, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Moss, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Strommen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stabaek, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Moss.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Moss 2–2 Stabaek. The last 2 head-to-heads: Stabaek 1 win, Moss 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stabaek 2.7 xG, Moss 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stabaek 68%, draw 19%, Moss 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stabaek 2–1 Moss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stabaek68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @5.00
Moss13%fair 7.52 · @6.00
3.83Expected goals
2.66Stabaek xG
1.17Moss xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Stabaek 2.7 – 1.2 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStabaek to win ✗68%1.481.33
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✗87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.36
Draw no betStabaek (draw no bet) ✗84%1.20–
Asian handicapStabaek -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
First team to scoreStabaek to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultStabaek ahead at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stabaek / FT Stabaek ✗47%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Stabaek – last 6

LWWWWW
30 Aug@ hodd1–2L
26 Augvs Ranheim4–2W
22 Aug@ Heming2–0W
16 Aug@ Egersund4–0W
8 Augvs Lyn4–3W
2 Aug@ Raufoss2–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Moss – last 6

LDWLDL
30 Augvs Strommen1–2L
26 Augvs Sogndal2–2D
22 Aug@ Lørenskog3–0W
15 Aug@ Bryne1–2L
10 Augvs ODD Ballklubb3–3D
2 Aug@ hodd1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Moss v Stabaek2–2
29 Mar 2026Stabaek v Moss2–0
Stabaek vs Moss head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stabaek vs Moss?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Stabaek vs Moss?

On our numbers Stabaek have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moss 13%.

How many goals will there be in Stabaek vs Moss?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stabaek vs Moss?

Our predicted score is Stabaek 2–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Stabaek vs Moss?

Stabaek vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nadderud Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.