Value bet: Sogndal to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSogndal to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Sogndal vs Strommen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Sogndal v Strommen in the 1. Division, played at Fosshaugane Campus. In the table, Sogndal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 30 matches; Strommen are 9th (lower half) with 39.
Current form
Sogndal, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Haugesund, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Strommen, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–9 defeat to Tromsdalen Uil, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Strommen, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Sogndal.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Strommen 2–3 Sogndal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogndal 2.4 xG, Strommen 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogndal 57%, draw 17%, Strommen 25%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Sogndal to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogndal 2–1 Strommen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogndal57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @3.60
Strommen25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
3.93Expected goals
2.39Sogndal xG
1.54Strommen xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Sogndal 2.4 – 1.5 Strommen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sogndal vs Strommen?
On our numbers Sogndal have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Strommen 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Strommen?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Strommen?
Our predicted score is Sogndal 2–1 Strommen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Sogndal vs Strommen?
Sogndal vs Strommen (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.