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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stabaek v Sogndal: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek

DLLLW
2–1
FT

Sogndal

DDLLD
Stabaek 67%Draw 20%Sogndal 13% Expected goals 2.67 – 1.22
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultStabaek to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.25

Stabaek vs Sogndal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sogndal travel to face Stabaek on Sunday 20 September in the 1. Division, with Nadderud Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Stabaek are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 30 matches; Sogndal are 14th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Stabaek, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pors Grenland, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sogndal, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sotra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Sogndal 2–2 Stabaek. The last 2 head-to-heads: Stabaek 1 win, Sogndal 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stabaek 2.7 xG, Sogndal 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stabaek 67%, draw 20%, Sogndal 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stabaek 2–1 Sogndal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stabaek67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @5.00
Sogndal13%fair 7.52 · @6.00
3.89Expected goals
2.67Stabaek xG
1.22Sogndal xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–07%
1–05%

From our goals model: Stabaek 2.7 – 1.2 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStabaek to win ✓67%1.501.33
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✓87%1.151.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.36
Draw no betStabaek (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapStabaek -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
First team to scoreStabaek to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultStabaek ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stabaek / FT Stabaek ✓46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.25–

Recent results

Stabaek – last 6

DLLLWW
16 Sep@ Pors Grenland1–1D
12 Sep@ Bryne0–2L
5 Sepvs Moss2–3L
30 Aug@ hodd1–2L
26 Augvs Ranheim4–2W
22 Aug@ Heming2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sogndal – last 6

DDLLDW
16 Sep@ Sotra1–1D
13 Sepvs Strommen1–1D
5 Sep@ Haugesund0–2L
30 Augvs Stromsgodset2–3L
26 Aug@ Moss2–2D
21 Aug@ Fjøra8–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 May 2026Sogndal v Stabaek2–2
6 Mar 2026Stabaek v Sogndal1–0
Stabaek vs Sogndal head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Stabaek vs Sogndal?

On our numbers Stabaek have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sogndal 13%.

How many goals will there be in Stabaek vs Sogndal?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Our predicted score is Stabaek 2–1 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Stabaek vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nadderud Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.