Moss vs Kongsvinger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the 1. Division brings Moss against Kongsvinger. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Moss are 13th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Kongsvinger are 3rd (among the top four) with 59. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Moss, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grorud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Kongsvinger, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over hodd, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Kongsvinger, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Moss.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moss 1.5 xG, Kongsvinger 2.7 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moss 20%, draw 16%, Kongsvinger 64%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moss 1–2 Kongsvinger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moss20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @4.50
Kongsvinger64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
4.20Expected goals
1.48Moss xG
2.72Kongsvinger xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
0–26%
2–36%
From our goals model: Moss 1.5 – 2.7 Kongsvinger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kongsvinger to win✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Draw no bet
Kongsvinger (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Kongsvinger -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
First team to score
Kongsvinger to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Kongsvinger ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kongsvinger / FT Kongsvinger✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.18
–
Recent results
Moss – last 6
DWLWLD
23 Sep
@ Grorud
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sandnes ULF
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Haugesund
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stabaek
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Strommen
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Sogndal
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kongsvinger – last 6
WWDWDW
20 Sep
vs hodd
5–1
W
16 Sep
@ Eidsvold
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Egersund
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Raufoss
9–1
W
30 Aug
vs Lyn
4–4
D
26 Aug
@ ODD Ballklubb
1–0
W
3.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moss and Kongsvinger.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Moss vs Kongsvinger?
On our numbers Moss have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kongsvinger 64%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Kongsvinger?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Kongsvinger?
Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Kongsvinger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Kongsvinger?
Moss vs Kongsvinger (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
